As Singapore households become smaller, we face a paradox: our per-capita waste generation is trending down, yet the total volume of waste heading to Semakau landfill continues to creep upwards.
It may seem like we are throwing away less individually, but the mountain of waste keeps growing. Why?
Globally, research shows that smaller households generate more waste per person. OECD studies reveal that single-person households consume — and discard — more resources than multi-person households. Think about it:
This is not unique to Singapore. In countries like Japan, Germany, and the US, smaller households have been linked to higher per-capita consumption and waste intensity. A Romanian study even found that household spending on furnishings and equipment explained more than a third of the variation in municipal waste.
Smaller households also tend to cook less. Eating out or ordering in adds layers of disposable packaging. Coupled with rising affluence and aspirations for comfort and convenience, this multiplies our waste footprint.
This is why — even as Singaporeans reduce daily waste per person from 0.88 kg in 2023 to 0.85 kg in 2024 — the total landfill intake remains high. Items left after recycling, such as bulky waste, electronics, and mixed materials, continue to trend upwards.

Some might argue: isn’t declining per-capita waste a sign of success? It suggests that policies, education, and nudges are taking root. And in fairness, Singapore has achieved more than a 20% drop in per-capita waste over the past decade, alongside a 30% fall in waste-to-GDP intensity.
This is worth celebrating. But it cannot be the only metric. If the absolute tonnage to landfill keeps rising, Semakau’s life expectancy remains under threat.

The good news: there are examples overseas of how to bend the curve.
Each of these models tackles the duplication problem: not every household needs to buy — and later discard — the same items.

We don’t have to look far — locally, sparks of innovation are already showing:
These are small steps, but they hint at a future where renting, sharing, and repairing become mainstream rather than niche.

If waste is bound to rise with demographics and affluence, the question is not how to eliminate it, but how to bend the curve. That means making trade-offs:

We often wait for policy or business models to lead, but individuals can nudge this shift:
Singapore has already proven it can reduce per-capita waste. The challenge now is to stop the landfill load from climbing. By anticipating the structural trend of smaller households and higher duplication, we can design systems before the pressure peaks.
The next decade must be about scaling reuse, rental, and repair from side projects to everyday norms. Waste may be inevitable — but how much, and how fast, is still in our hands.
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